India Investment

India Investment — Track Record

Simulated track record · ₹200,000 deployed at each buy level (Buy 1 / 2 / 3 / Last) · marked to market 2026-11-03 16:30 · started 2026-05-31
Invested
₹5,172,228
Value
₹5,161,162
Return
-0.21%
Names / tranches
16/26

The buy plan

✓ = position opened · swipe each table sideways for all columns · Buy 2 / 3 / Last fill only when price reaches that level · Fair value = our DCF (green = CMP below it = margin of safety, red = above).

🟢 Buy — high conviction (score ≥ 65) · 14

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
✓ KSOLVES 95 ₹209 ₹568 ₹256 — — ₹228 — — — ₹194
✓ INFY 92 ₹1,148 ₹1,668 ₹1,045 ₹961 — ₹888 ₹1,568 — 2x ₹2,322 ₹755
✓ ITC 91 ₹274 ₹135 ₹287 ₹264 — ₹244 ₹430 — 2x ₹574 ₹207
TCS 89 ₹2,499 ₹2,913 ₹2,033 ₹1,870 — ₹1,728 ₹3,050 ₹4,066 2x ₹4,518 ₹1,469
✓ FRONTSP 81 — n/a ₹1,426 ₹1,267 — ₹1,145 — — — ₹973
HCLTECH 78 ₹1,439 n/a ₹1,065 ₹980 — ₹906 ₹1,598 ₹2,130 2x ₹2,368 ₹770
✓ HBLENGINE 78 ₹813 ₹980 ₹741 ₹658 — ₹552 — — — ₹469
✓ MM 75 ₹2,908 ₹789 ₹3,046 ₹2,802 — ₹2,589 ₹4,569 — 2x ₹6,092 ₹2,201
✓ ICICIBANK 73 ₹1,424 n/a ₹1,256 ₹1,156 — ₹1,068 ₹1,884 — 2x ₹2,512 ₹908
✓ HDFCBANK 71 ₹726 n/a ₹745 ₹685 — ₹633 ₹1,118 — 2x ₹1,490 ₹538
✓ BRITANNIA 69 ₹4,930 ₹2,016 ₹5,164 ₹4,751 — ₹4,390 ₹7,746 — 2x ₹10,408 ₹3,732
✓ SHAKTIPUMP 67 ₹357 ₹561 ₹472 — — ₹420 — — — ₹357
✓ BEL 67 ₹380 ₹19.00 ₹379 — — ₹361 — — — ₹307
HAL 66 ₹4,959 ₹1,849 ₹3,874 — — ₹3,443 — — — ₹2,927

🟡 Watch (45–64) · 19

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
✓ BAJFINANCE 64 ₹970 n/a ₹908 ₹836 — ₹772 ₹1,362 — 2x ₹1,816 ₹656
TITAN 64 ₹4,562 ₹2,440 ₹3,667 ₹3,374 — ₹3,117 ₹5,500 ₹7,334 2x ₹8,150 ₹2,649
BHARTIARTL 61 ₹2,065 ₹3,696 ₹1,646 ₹1,514 — ₹1,399 ₹2,469 ₹3,292 2x ₹3,658 ₹1,189
AXISBANK 61 ₹1,233 n/a ₹1,158 ₹1,065 — ₹984 ₹1,737 ₹2,316 2x ₹2,574 ₹836
✓ WAAREEENER 61 ₹2,318 ₹1,395 ₹2,523 — — ₹2,403 — — — ₹2,043
SOLARINDS 60 ₹19,654 ₹4,245 ₹12,228 — — ₹11,646 — — — ₹9,899
BSE 58 ₹3,666 n/a ₹2,123 — — ₹2,022 — — — ₹1,719
DIXON 58 ₹12,270 ₹1,770 ₹10,080 — — ₹9,600 — — — ₹8,160
BAJAJFINSV 56 ₹1,718 n/a ₹1,605 ₹1,477 — ₹1,364 ₹2,408 ₹3,210 2x ₹3,568 ₹1,159
✓ MARUTI 56 ₹11,869 ₹12,780 ₹11,814 ₹10,869 — ₹10,042 ₹17,721 ₹23,628 2x ₹26,254 ₹8,536
✓ HINDUNILVR 56 ₹1,963 ₹690 ₹2,022 ₹1,861 — ₹1,719 ₹3,033 — 2x ₹4,308 ₹1,461
✓ LT 55 ₹3,948 ₹2,018 ₹3,669 ₹3,375 — ₹3,119 ₹5,504 — 2x ₹8,152 ₹2,651
PIDILITIND 54 ₹1,511 ₹520 ₹1,335 ₹1,228 — ₹1,134 ₹2,002 — 2x ₹2,966 ₹964
NESTLEIND 54 ₹1,248 ₹210 ₹1,137 ₹1,046 — ₹967 ₹1,706 ₹2,274 2x ₹2,844 ₹822
NETWEB 54 ₹4,088 ₹696 ₹1,785 — — ₹1,700 — — — ₹1,445
KOTAKBANK 52 ₹465 n/a ₹346 ₹318 — ₹294 ₹519 — 2x ₹768 ₹250
CDSL 51 ₹1,320 n/a ₹1,120 — — ₹996 — — — ₹847
✓ DABUR 48 ₹382 ₹238 ₹403 ₹371 — ₹343 ₹604 — 2x ₹886 ₹292
ASIANPAINT 47 ₹2,438 ₹1,194 ₹2,137 ₹1,966 — ₹1,817 ₹3,206 ₹4,274 2x ₹5,344 ₹1,544

⚪ Low priority (< 45) — tracked, not bought · 17

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
SUNPHARMA 41 ₹1,770 ₹946 ₹1,619 ₹1,490 — ₹1,376 ₹2,428 ₹3,238 2x ₹3,598 ₹1,170
POLYCAB 41 ₹7,837 ₹7,147 ₹6,048 — — ₹5,760 — — — ₹4,896
RELIANCE 40 ₹1,308 ₹1,298 ₹1,290 ₹1,187 — ₹1,096 ₹1,935 — 2x ₹2,642 ₹932
PARAS 40 ₹1,211 ₹248 ₹609 — — ₹580 — — — ₹493
CYIENTDLM 38 ₹744 ₹9.00 ₹379 ₹337 — ₹265 — — — ₹225
SYRMA 36 ₹1,491 ₹234 ₹980 ₹871 — ₹500 — — — ₹425
DATAPATTNS 36 ₹3,950 ₹11.00 ₹2,238 — — ₹2,131 — — — ₹1,811
360ONE 35 ₹1,065 n/a ₹994 — — ₹883 — — — ₹751
DMART 33 ₹3,359 ₹1,023 ₹3,600 ₹3,312 — ₹3,060 ₹5,400 ₹7,200 2x ₹8,108 ₹2,601
ZENTEC 31 ₹1,711 ₹162 ₹1,284 — — ₹1,223 — — — ₹1,040
GLENMARK 30 ₹2,408 ₹3,779 ₹2,048 ₹1,820 — ₹1,448 — — — ₹1,231
KEI 29 ₹3,881 ₹1,361 ₹3,675 — — ₹3,500 — — — ₹2,975
TITAGARH 28 ₹684 ₹690 ₹597 — — ₹569 — — — ₹484
MOSCHIP 25 ₹158 ₹93.00 ₹154 — — ₹147 — — — ₹125
TATACONSUM 24 ₹1,073 ₹658 ₹1,007 ₹927 — ₹856 ₹1,510 ₹2,014 2x ₹2,356 ₹728
E2E 20 ₹495 ₹595 ₹1,926 — — ₹1,834 — — — ₹1,559
AMBER 15 ₹6,260 ₹2,822 ₹5,670 — — ₹5,400 — — — ₹4,590

⛔ Avoid — governance gated, never bought · 3

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
KAYNES 17 ₹3,239 ₹1,335 — — — — — — — —
PAYTM 0 ₹1,720 ₹555 — — — — — — — —
SUZLON 0 ₹35.75 ₹21.00 — — — — — — — —

Investment so far · 17 names, 26 tranches, ₹5,172,228 in

HBLENGINEHBL EngineeringBUY · 78
Invested ₹399,484Value ₹465,792Return +16.60%
Avg entry ₹697CMP ₹813Shares 573
Fair value (our DCF) ₹98016% below — margin of safety
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹741✓ Buy 2/3 ₹658
Exit if (thesis-break): Kavach rollout pace is government-dependent; obscure (non-Big-6) auditor.
ICICIBANKICICI BankBUY · 73
Invested ₹199,704Value ₹226,496Return +13.42%
Avg entry ₹1,256CMP ₹1,424Shares 159
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,256
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation, limited multiple expansion from here so returns track EPS (~15%).
INFYInfosysBUY · 92
Invested ₹199,595Value ₹219,287Return +9.87%
Avg entry ₹1,045CMP ₹1,148Shares 191
Fair value (our DCF) ₹1,66830% below — margin of safety
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,045
Exit if (thesis-break): VALUE TRAP: headcount AND revenue both stalling. If the AI-native business does not scale past ~10% of revenue while guidance stays sub-5%, even 15x can de-rate further (Jefferies: up to 65% downside tail).
LTLarsen & ToubroWATCH · 55
Invested ₹198,126Value ₹213,203Return +7.61%
Avg entry ₹3,669CMP ₹3,948Shares 54
Fair value (our DCF) ₹2,018CMP 2.0× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹3,669
Exit if (thesis-break): Margin disappointment at a peak multiple; low-margin Middle East mix is 52% of backlog.
BAJFINANCEBajaj FinanceWATCH · 64
Invested ₹199,760Value ₹213,400Return +6.83%
Avg entry ₹908CMP ₹970Shares 220
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹908
Exit if (thesis-break): ASSET QUALITY, GNPA rising (1.06->1.24%), unsecured/MSME stress. NOT a low-drawdown name; a credit-cycle turn de-rates 29x fast.
HDFCBANKHDFC BankBUY · 71
Invested ₹398,995Value ₹405,554Return +1.64%
Avg entry ₹714CMP ₹726Shares 559
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹745✓ Buy 2/3 ₹685
Exit if (thesis-break): NIM stuck near 3.6% so the re-rating thesis is slow to fire (you still get ~12% compounding).
HINDUNILVRHindustan UnileverWATCH · 56
Invested ₹397,283Value ₹402,374Return +1.28%
Avg entry ₹1,938CMP ₹1,963Shares 205
Fair value (our DCF) ₹690CMP 3.1× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹2,022✓ Buy 2/3 ₹1,861
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation de-rating, a staples giant at 46x with 2% growth is priced for a recovery that may take years.
MARUTIMaruti SuzukiWATCH · 56
Invested ₹189,024Value ₹189,904Return +0.47%
Avg entry ₹11,814CMP ₹11,869Shares 16
Fair value (our DCF) ₹12,780
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹11,814
Exit if (thesis-break): EV-transition lag, late to BEV vs Tata; if the market shifts to EVs faster than its CNG/hybrid bridge assumes, terminal de-rate.
BELBharat ElectronicsBUY · 67
Invested ₹199,759Value ₹200,313Return +0.28%
Avg entry ₹379CMP ₹380Shares 527
Fair value (our DCF) ₹19.00CMP 22.1× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/2 ₹379
Exit if (thesis-break): 50x valuation, multiple more likely to compress than expand.
BRITANNIABritanniaBUY · 69
Invested ₹395,774Value ₹394,400Return -0.35%
Avg entry ₹4,947CMP ₹4,930Shares 80
Fair value (our DCF) ₹2,016CMP 2.6× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹5,164✓ Buy 2/3 ₹4,751
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation vs single-category maturity.
MMMahindra & MahindraBUY · 75
Invested ₹396,932Value ₹395,488Return -0.36%
Avg entry ₹2,919CMP ₹2,908Shares 136
Fair value (our DCF) ₹789CMP 3.9× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹3,046✓ Buy 2/3 ₹2,802
Exit if (thesis-break): Auto + tractor cyclicality, a rural/monsoon downcycle hits both engines at once (but the cheap entry cushions it).
ITCITCBUY · 91
Invested ₹399,600Value ₹397,977Return -0.41%
Avg entry ₹275CMP ₹274Shares 1,453
Fair value (our DCF) ₹135CMP 2.1× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹287✓ Buy 2/3 ₹264
Exit if (thesis-break): Cigarette tax shock (GST/excise) stalls the 60-70% of profit from cigarettes, offset by the 5% yield while you wait.
DABURDaburWATCH · 48
Invested ₹399,857Value ₹395,008Return -1.21%
Avg entry ₹386CMP ₹382Shares 1,035
Fair value (our DCF) ₹238CMP 1.9× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹403✓ Buy 2/3 ₹371
Exit if (thesis-break): Growth stagnation, rural-heavy, low pricing power.
WAAREEENERWaaree EnergiesWATCH · 61
Invested ₹398,778Value ₹375,516Return -5.83%
Avg entry ₹2,462CMP ₹2,318Shares 162
Fair value (our DCF) ₹1,395CMP 2.3× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/2 ₹2,523✓ Buy 2/2 (last) ₹2,403
Exit if (thesis-break): The US AD/CVD evasion probe + the I-T raid outcome; CEO/CFO double-exit.
KSOLVESKsolves IndiaBUY · 95
Invested ₹399,770Value ₹345,508Return -13.57%
Avg entry ₹241CMP ₹209Shares 1,656
Fair value (our DCF) ₹56850% below — margin of safety
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/2 ₹256✓ Buy 2/2 (last) ₹228
Exit if (thesis-break): Client concentration (a few big Salesforce-ecosystem clients), low free float, and growth deceleration, the ~100% payout caps reinvestment so it compounds slowly. Not a quality-compounder on that ROE, a fragile capital-efficient micro.
SHAKTIPUMPShakti PumpsBUY · 67
Invested ₹399,788Value ₹320,943Return -19.72%
Avg entry ₹445CMP ₹357Shares 899
Fair value (our DCF) ₹561
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/2 ₹472✓ Buy 2/2 (last) ₹420
Exit if (thesis-break): ~85-95% of revenue is PM-KUSUM government solar-pump tenders, policy-and-budget-dependent, lumpy, with long receivable cycles. The FY25 profit spike may normalise when current state tenders complete, watch the order book.
FRONTSPFrontier SpringsBUY · 81
Invested ₹398,534Value —Return —
Avg entry ₹1,342CMP —Shares 297
Fair value pre-revenue — no DCF
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,426✓ Buy 2/3 ₹1,267
Exit if (thesis-break): ~85-90% revenue is one customer (Indian Railways), so a railway-capex slowdown hits hard; priced rich at ~30x; the 5th-x needs the still-zero defence/export arm to actually fire.