India Investment

India Investment — Track Record

Simulated track record · ₹200,000 deployed at each buy level (Buy 1 / 2 / 3 / Last) · marked to market 2026-08-03 16:30 · started 2026-05-31
Invested
₹1,792,266
Value
₹1,929,422
Return
+7.65%
Names / tranches
9/9

The buy plan

✓ = position opened · swipe each table sideways for all columns · Buy 2 / 3 / Last fill only when price reaches that level · Fair value = our DCF (green = CMP below it = margin of safety, red = above).

🟢 Buy — high conviction (score ≥ 65) · 14

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
KSOLVES 95 ₹283 ₹568 ₹256 ₹228 ₹194
INFY 92 ₹1,180 ₹1,668 ₹1,045 ₹961 ₹888 ₹1,568 2x ₹2,322 ₹755
ITC 91 ₹287 ₹135 ₹287 ₹264 ₹244 ₹430 2x ₹574 ₹207
TCS 89 ₹2,474 ₹2,913 ₹2,033 ₹1,870 ₹1,728 ₹3,050 ₹4,066 2x ₹4,518 ₹1,469
FRONTSP 81 ₹1,315 n/a ₹1,426 ₹1,267 ₹1,145 ₹973
HCLTECH 78 ₹1,377 n/a ₹1,065 ₹980 ₹906 ₹1,598 ₹2,130 2x ₹2,368 ₹770
HBLENGINE 78 ₹739 ₹980 ₹741 ₹658 ₹552 ₹469
MM 75 ₹3,429 ₹789 ₹3,046 ₹2,802 ₹2,589 ₹4,569 2x ₹6,092 ₹2,201
ICICIBANK 73 ₹1,460 n/a ₹1,256 ₹1,156 ₹1,068 ₹1,884 2x ₹2,512 ₹908
HDFCBANK 71 ₹753 n/a ₹745 ₹685 ₹633 ₹1,118 2x ₹1,490 ₹538
BRITANNIA 69 ₹5,531 ₹2,016 ₹5,164 ₹4,751 ₹4,390 ₹7,746 2x ₹10,408 ₹3,732
SHAKTIPUMP 67 ₹519 ₹561 ₹472 ₹420 ₹357
BEL 67 ₹392 ₹19.00 ₹379 ₹361 ₹307
HAL 66 ₹4,690 ₹1,849 ₹3,874 ₹3,443 ₹2,927

🟡 Watch (45–64) · 19

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
BAJFINANCE 64 ₹1,153 n/a ₹908 ₹836 ₹772 ₹1,362 2x ₹1,816 ₹656
TITAN 64 ₹5,000 ₹2,440 ₹3,667 ₹3,374 ₹3,117 ₹5,500 ₹7,334 2x ₹8,150 ₹2,649
BHARTIARTL 61 ₹1,970 ₹3,696 ₹1,646 ₹1,514 ₹1,399 ₹2,469 ₹3,292 2x ₹3,658 ₹1,189
AXISBANK 61 ₹1,272 n/a ₹1,158 ₹1,065 ₹984 ₹1,737 ₹2,316 2x ₹2,574 ₹836
WAAREEENER 61 ₹2,676 ₹1,395 ₹2,523 ₹2,403 ₹2,043
SOLARINDS 60 ₹18,659 ₹4,245 ₹12,228 ₹11,646 ₹9,899
BSE 58 ₹3,575 n/a ₹2,123 ₹2,022 ₹1,719
DIXON 58 ₹13,892 ₹1,770 ₹10,080 ₹9,600 ₹8,160
BAJAJFINSV 56 ₹2,096 n/a ₹1,605 ₹1,477 ₹1,364 ₹2,408 ₹3,210 2x ₹3,568 ₹1,159
MARUTI 56 ₹14,104 ₹12,780 ₹11,814 ₹10,869 ₹10,042 ₹17,721 ₹23,628 2x ₹26,254 ₹8,536
HINDUNILVR 56 ₹2,138 ₹690 ₹2,022 ₹1,861 ₹1,719 ₹3,033 2x ₹4,308 ₹1,461
LT 55 ₹4,025 ₹2,018 ₹3,669 ₹3,375 ₹3,119 ₹5,504 2x ₹8,152 ₹2,651
PIDILITIND 54 ₹1,642 ₹520 ₹1,335 ₹1,228 ₹1,134 ₹2,002 2x ₹2,966 ₹964
NESTLEIND 54 ₹1,530 ₹210 ₹1,137 ₹1,046 ₹967 ₹1,706 ₹2,274 2x ₹2,844 ₹822
NETWEB 54 ₹4,586 ₹696 ₹1,785 ₹1,700 ₹1,445
KOTAKBANK 52 ₹398 n/a ₹346 ₹318 ₹294 ₹519 2x ₹768 ₹250
CDSL 51 ₹1,322 n/a ₹1,120 ₹996 ₹847
DABUR 48 ₹426 ₹238 ₹403 ₹371 ₹343 ₹604 2x ₹886 ₹292
ASIANPAINT 47 ₹2,810 ₹1,194 ₹2,137 ₹1,966 ₹1,817 ₹3,206 ₹4,274 2x ₹5,344 ₹1,544

⚪ Low priority (< 45) — tracked, not bought · 17

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
SUNPHARMA 41 ₹1,964 ₹946 ₹1,619 ₹1,490 ₹1,376 ₹2,428 ₹3,238 2x ₹3,598 ₹1,170
POLYCAB 41 ₹9,034 ₹7,147 ₹6,048 ₹5,760 ₹4,896
RELIANCE 40 ₹1,319 ₹1,298 ₹1,290 ₹1,187 ₹1,096 ₹1,935 2x ₹2,642 ₹932
PARAS 40 ₹1,292 ₹248 ₹609 ₹580 ₹493
CYIENTDLM 38 ₹672 ₹9.00 ₹379 ₹337 ₹265 ₹225
SYRMA 36 ₹1,361 ₹234 ₹980 ₹871 ₹500 ₹425
DATAPATTNS 36 ₹4,429 ₹11.00 ₹2,238 ₹2,131 ₹1,811
360ONE 35 ₹1,148 n/a ₹994 ₹883 ₹751
DMART 33 ₹4,015 ₹1,023 ₹3,600 ₹3,312 ₹3,060 ₹5,400 ₹7,200 2x ₹8,108 ₹2,601
ZENTEC 31 ₹1,656 ₹162 ₹1,284 ₹1,223 ₹1,040
GLENMARK 30 ₹2,230 ₹3,779 ₹2,048 ₹1,820 ₹1,448 ₹1,231
KEI 29 ₹5,023 ₹1,361 ₹3,675 ₹3,500 ₹2,975
TITAGARH 28 ₹859 ₹690 ₹597 ₹569 ₹484
MOSCHIP 25 ₹210 ₹93.00 ₹154 ₹147 ₹125
TATACONSUM 24 ₹1,110 ₹658 ₹1,007 ₹927 ₹856 ₹1,510 ₹2,014 2x ₹2,356 ₹728
E2E 20 ₹543 ₹595 ₹1,926 ₹1,834 ₹1,559
AMBER 15 ₹7,420 ₹2,822 ₹5,670 ₹5,400 ₹4,590

⛔ Avoid — governance gated, never bought · 3

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
KAYNES 17 ₹3,805 ₹1,335
PAYTM 0 ₹1,410 ₹555
SUZLON 0 ₹48.10 ₹21.00

Investment so far · 9 names, 9 tranches, ₹1,792,266 in

BAJFINANCEBajaj FinanceWATCH · 64
Invested ₹199,760Value ₹253,660Return +26.98%
Avg entry ₹908CMP ₹1,153Shares 220
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹908
Exit if (thesis-break): ASSET QUALITY, GNPA rising (1.06->1.24%), unsecured/MSME stress. NOT a low-drawdown name; a credit-cycle turn de-rates 29x fast.
ICICIBANKICICI BankBUY · 73
Invested ₹199,704Value ₹232,140Return +16.24%
Avg entry ₹1,256CMP ₹1,460Shares 159
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,256
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation, limited multiple expansion from here so returns track EPS (~15%).
INFYInfosysBUY · 92
Invested ₹199,595Value ₹225,380Return +12.92%
Avg entry ₹1,045CMP ₹1,180Shares 191
Fair value (our DCF) ₹1,66830% below — margin of safety
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,045
Exit if (thesis-break): VALUE TRAP: headcount AND revenue both stalling. If the AI-native business does not scale past ~10% of revenue while guidance stays sub-5%, even 15x can de-rate further (Jefferies: up to 65% downside tail).
MMMahindra & MahindraBUY · 75
Invested ₹197,990Value ₹222,859Return +12.56%
Avg entry ₹3,046CMP ₹3,429Shares 65
Fair value (our DCF) ₹789CMP 3.9× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹3,046
Exit if (thesis-break): Auto + tractor cyclicality, a rural/monsoon downcycle hits both engines at once (but the cheap entry cushions it).
BRITANNIABritanniaBUY · 69
Invested ₹196,232Value ₹210,178Return +7.11%
Avg entry ₹5,164CMP ₹5,531Shares 38
Fair value (our DCF) ₹2,016CMP 2.6× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹5,164
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation vs single-category maturity.
HDFCBANKHDFC BankBUY · 71
Invested ₹199,660Value ₹201,804Return +1.07%
Avg entry ₹745CMP ₹753Shares 268
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹745
Exit if (thesis-break): NIM stuck near 3.6% so the re-rating thesis is slow to fire (you still get ~12% compounding).
HBLENGINEHBL EngineeringBUY · 78
Invested ₹199,989Value ₹199,584Return -0.20%
Avg entry ₹741CMP ₹739Shares 270
Fair value (our DCF) ₹98016% below — margin of safety
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹741
Exit if (thesis-break): Kavach rollout pace is government-dependent; obscure (non-Big-6) auditor.
FRONTSPFrontier SpringsBUY · 81
Invested ₹199,584Value ₹184,065Return -7.78%
Avg entry ₹1,426CMP ₹1,315Shares 140
Fair value pre-revenue — no DCF
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,426
Exit if (thesis-break): ~85-90% revenue is one customer (Indian Railways), so a railway-capex slowdown hits hard; priced rich at ~30x; the 5th-x needs the still-zero defence/export arm to actually fire.
ITCITCBUY · 91
Invested ₹199,752Value ₹199,752Return +0.00%
Avg entry ₹287CMP ₹287Shares 696
Fair value (our DCF) ₹135CMP 2.1× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹287
Exit if (thesis-break): Cigarette tax shock (GST/excise) stalls the 60-70% of profit from cigarettes, offset by the 5% yield while you wait.