India Investment

India Investment — Track Record

Simulated track record · ₹200,000 deployed at each buy level (Buy 1 / 2 / 3 / Last) · marked to market 2026-09-11 16:30 · started 2026-05-31
Invested
₹2,988,471
Value
₹2,973,610
Return
-0.50%
Names / tranches
12/15

The buy plan

✓ = position opened · swipe each table sideways for all columns · Buy 2 / 3 / Last fill only when price reaches that level · Fair value = our DCF (green = CMP below it = margin of safety, red = above).

🟢 Buy — high conviction (score ≥ 65) · 14

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
KSOLVES 95 ₹258 ₹568 ₹256 ₹228 ₹194
INFY 92 ₹1,038 ₹1,668 ₹1,045 ₹961 ₹888 ₹1,568 2x ₹2,322 ₹755
ITC 91 ₹260 ₹135 ₹287 ₹264 ₹244 ₹430 2x ₹574 ₹207
TCS 89 ₹2,201 ₹2,913 ₹2,033 ₹1,870 ₹1,728 ₹3,050 ₹4,066 2x ₹4,518 ₹1,469
FRONTSP 81 ₹1,254 n/a ₹1,426 ₹1,267 ₹1,145 ₹973
HCLTECH 78 ₹1,206 n/a ₹1,065 ₹980 ₹906 ₹1,598 ₹2,130 2x ₹2,368 ₹770
HBLENGINE 78 ₹722 ₹980 ₹741 ₹658 ₹552 ₹469
MM 75 ₹3,107 ₹789 ₹3,046 ₹2,802 ₹2,589 ₹4,569 2x ₹6,092 ₹2,201
ICICIBANK 73 ₹1,379 n/a ₹1,256 ₹1,156 ₹1,068 ₹1,884 2x ₹2,512 ₹908
HDFCBANK 71 ₹708 n/a ₹745 ₹685 ₹633 ₹1,118 2x ₹1,490 ₹538
BRITANNIA 69 ₹4,962 ₹2,016 ₹5,164 ₹4,751 ₹4,390 ₹7,746 2x ₹10,408 ₹3,732
SHAKTIPUMP 67 ₹494 ₹561 ₹472 ₹420 ₹357
BEL 67 ₹404 ₹19.00 ₹379 ₹361 ₹307
HAL 66 ₹4,905 ₹1,849 ₹3,874 ₹3,443 ₹2,927

🟡 Watch (45–64) · 19

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
BAJFINANCE 64 ₹1,034 n/a ₹908 ₹836 ₹772 ₹1,362 2x ₹1,816 ₹656
TITAN 64 ₹5,010 ₹2,440 ₹3,667 ₹3,374 ₹3,117 ₹5,500 ₹7,334 2x ₹8,150 ₹2,649
BHARTIARTL 61 ₹1,831 ₹3,696 ₹1,646 ₹1,514 ₹1,399 ₹2,469 ₹3,292 2x ₹3,658 ₹1,189
AXISBANK 61 ₹1,246 n/a ₹1,158 ₹1,065 ₹984 ₹1,737 ₹2,316 2x ₹2,574 ₹836
WAAREEENER 61 ₹2,625 ₹1,395 ₹2,523 ₹2,403 ₹2,043
SOLARINDS 60 ₹22,290 ₹4,245 ₹12,228 ₹11,646 ₹9,899
BSE 58 ₹3,384 n/a ₹2,123 ₹2,022 ₹1,719
DIXON 58 ₹13,425 ₹1,770 ₹10,080 ₹9,600 ₹8,160
BAJAJFINSV 56 ₹1,914 n/a ₹1,605 ₹1,477 ₹1,364 ₹2,408 ₹3,210 2x ₹3,568 ₹1,159
MARUTI 56 ₹12,400 ₹12,780 ₹11,814 ₹10,869 ₹10,042 ₹17,721 ₹23,628 2x ₹26,254 ₹8,536
HINDUNILVR 56 ₹1,927 ₹690 ₹2,022 ₹1,861 ₹1,719 ₹3,033 2x ₹4,308 ₹1,461
LT 55 ₹3,931 ₹2,018 ₹3,669 ₹3,375 ₹3,119 ₹5,504 2x ₹8,152 ₹2,651
PIDILITIND 54 ₹1,567 ₹520 ₹1,335 ₹1,228 ₹1,134 ₹2,002 2x ₹2,966 ₹964
NESTLEIND 54 ₹1,383 ₹210 ₹1,137 ₹1,046 ₹967 ₹1,706 ₹2,274 2x ₹2,844 ₹822
NETWEB 54 ₹5,027 ₹696 ₹1,785 ₹1,700 ₹1,445
KOTAKBANK 52 ₹419 n/a ₹346 ₹318 ₹294 ₹519 2x ₹768 ₹250
CDSL 51 ₹1,360 n/a ₹1,120 ₹996 ₹847
DABUR 48 ₹376 ₹238 ₹403 ₹371 ₹343 ₹604 2x ₹886 ₹292
ASIANPAINT 47 ₹2,472 ₹1,194 ₹2,137 ₹1,966 ₹1,817 ₹3,206 ₹4,274 2x ₹5,344 ₹1,544

⚪ Low priority (< 45) — tracked, not bought · 17

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
SUNPHARMA 41 ₹1,840 ₹946 ₹1,619 ₹1,490 ₹1,376 ₹2,428 ₹3,238 2x ₹3,598 ₹1,170
POLYCAB 41 ₹8,241 ₹7,147 ₹6,048 ₹5,760 ₹4,896
RELIANCE 40 ₹1,258 ₹1,298 ₹1,290 ₹1,187 ₹1,096 ₹1,935 2x ₹2,642 ₹932
PARAS 40 ₹1,436 ₹248 ₹609 ₹580 ₹493
CYIENTDLM 38 ₹904 ₹9.00 ₹379 ₹337 ₹265 ₹225
SYRMA 36 ₹1,589 ₹234 ₹980 ₹871 ₹500 ₹425
DATAPATTNS 36 ₹4,829 ₹11.00 ₹2,238 ₹2,131 ₹1,811
360ONE 35 ₹1,091 n/a ₹994 ₹883 ₹751
DMART 33 ₹3,688 ₹1,023 ₹3,600 ₹3,312 ₹3,060 ₹5,400 ₹7,200 2x ₹8,108 ₹2,601
ZENTEC 31 ₹1,723 ₹162 ₹1,284 ₹1,223 ₹1,040
GLENMARK 30 ₹2,419 ₹3,779 ₹2,048 ₹1,820 ₹1,448 ₹1,231
KEI 29 ₹4,578 ₹1,361 ₹3,675 ₹3,500 ₹2,975
TITAGARH 28 ₹842 ₹690 ₹597 ₹569 ₹484
MOSCHIP 25 ₹210 ₹93.00 ₹154 ₹147 ₹125
TATACONSUM 24 ₹991 ₹658 ₹1,007 ₹927 ₹856 ₹1,510 ₹2,014 2x ₹2,356 ₹728
E2E 20 ₹610 ₹595 ₹1,926 ₹1,834 ₹1,559
AMBER 15 ₹7,245 ₹2,822 ₹5,670 ₹5,400 ₹4,590

⛔ Avoid — governance gated, never bought · 3

Stock Score CMP Fair value Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Last buy TP1 TP2 Target Stop
KAYNES 17 ₹3,505 ₹1,335
PAYTM 0 ₹1,808 ₹555
SUZLON 0 ₹44.12 ₹21.00

Investment so far · 12 names, 15 tranches, ₹2,988,471 in

BAJFINANCEBajaj FinanceWATCH · 64
Invested ₹199,760Value ₹227,590Return +13.93%
Avg entry ₹908CMP ₹1,034Shares 220
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹908
Exit if (thesis-break): ASSET QUALITY, GNPA rising (1.06->1.24%), unsecured/MSME stress. NOT a low-drawdown name; a credit-cycle turn de-rates 29x fast.
ICICIBANKICICI BankBUY · 73
Invested ₹199,704Value ₹219,309Return +9.82%
Avg entry ₹1,256CMP ₹1,379Shares 159
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,256
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation, limited multiple expansion from here so returns track EPS (~15%).
SHAKTIPUMPShakti PumpsBUY · 67
Invested ₹199,868Value ₹208,877Return +4.51%
Avg entry ₹472CMP ₹494Shares 423
Fair value (our DCF) ₹561
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/2 ₹472
Exit if (thesis-break): ~85-95% of revenue is PM-KUSUM government solar-pump tenders, policy-and-budget-dependent, lumpy, with long receivable cycles. The FY25 profit spike may normalise when current state tenders complete, watch the order book.
HBLENGINEHBL EngineeringBUY · 78
Invested ₹399,484Value ₹413,821Return +3.59%
Avg entry ₹697CMP ₹722Shares 573
Fair value (our DCF) ₹98016% below — margin of safety
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹741✓ Buy 2/3 ₹658
Exit if (thesis-break): Kavach rollout pace is government-dependent; obscure (non-Big-6) auditor.
MMMahindra & MahindraBUY · 75
Invested ₹197,990Value ₹201,955Return +2.00%
Avg entry ₹3,046CMP ₹3,107Shares 65
Fair value (our DCF) ₹789CMP 3.9× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹3,046
Exit if (thesis-break): Auto + tractor cyclicality, a rural/monsoon downcycle hits both engines at once (but the cheap entry cushions it).
INFYInfosysBUY · 92
Invested ₹199,595Value ₹198,201Return -0.70%
Avg entry ₹1,045CMP ₹1,038Shares 191
Fair value (our DCF) ₹1,66830% below — margin of safety
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,045
Exit if (thesis-break): VALUE TRAP: headcount AND revenue both stalling. If the AI-native business does not scale past ~10% of revenue while guidance stays sub-5%, even 15x can de-rate further (Jefferies: up to 65% downside tail).
BRITANNIABritanniaBUY · 69
Invested ₹196,232Value ₹188,556Return -3.91%
Avg entry ₹5,164CMP ₹4,962Shares 38
Fair value (our DCF) ₹2,016CMP 2.6× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹5,164
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation vs single-category maturity.
HINDUNILVRHindustan UnileverWATCH · 56
Invested ₹198,156Value ₹188,846Return -4.70%
Avg entry ₹2,022CMP ₹1,927Shares 98
Fair value (our DCF) ₹690CMP 3.1× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹2,022
Exit if (thesis-break): Valuation de-rating, a staples giant at 46x with 2% growth is priced for a recovery that may take years.
HDFCBANKHDFC BankBUY · 71
Invested ₹199,660Value ₹189,811Return -4.93%
Avg entry ₹745CMP ₹708Shares 268
Fair value DCF n/a (bank / NBFC / insurer)
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹745
Exit if (thesis-break): NIM stuck near 3.6% so the re-rating thesis is slow to fire (you still get ~12% compounding).
ITCITCBUY · 91
Invested ₹399,600Value ₹377,562Return -5.51%
Avg entry ₹275CMP ₹260Shares 1,453
Fair value (our DCF) ₹135CMP 2.1× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹287✓ Buy 2/3 ₹264
Exit if (thesis-break): Cigarette tax shock (GST/excise) stalls the 60-70% of profit from cigarettes, offset by the 5% yield while you wait.
FRONTSPFrontier SpringsBUY · 81
Invested ₹398,534Value ₹372,586Return -6.51%
Avg entry ₹1,342CMP ₹1,254Shares 297
Fair value pre-revenue — no DCF
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹1,426✓ Buy 2/3 ₹1,267
Exit if (thesis-break): ~85-90% revenue is one customer (Indian Railways), so a railway-capex slowdown hits hard; priced rich at ~30x; the 5th-x needs the still-zero defence/export arm to actually fire.
DABURDaburWATCH · 48
Invested ₹199,888Value ₹186,496Return -6.70%
Avg entry ₹403CMP ₹376Shares 496
Fair value (our DCF) ₹238CMP 1.9× fair value
Tranches filled (₹200,000 each)
✓ Buy 1/3 ₹403
Exit if (thesis-break): Growth stagnation, rural-heavy, low pricing power.